There is a lot of bad news affecting the stock market and prices are falling for some very important reasons. These include reduced expectations for earnings, higher unemployment, a lack of liquidity, a housing market that has not bottomed yet, federal spending gone wild, and the collapse of some venerable financial institutions to name a select few.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index: started the year (Dec 28, 2007) at 1,478.49 and as of Friday October 3 it was 1,099.23, down 25.7%.

There are concerns about recession and even a depression and the global market for most commodities has softened.

Given all this how can I believe that the market is becoming irrational to the downside and values abound?

For one reason I know that many people are selling stocks out of fear of the market going lower and they do not want to be the last one out of the pool. That is a legitimate reason to sell but has nothing to do with the intrinsic value of a company or stock. If the index is being sold off then that means the good are being sold along with the bad.

Another factor pressuring the market relates directly to tight liquidity. I recently refinanced my home and the bank wanted me to reduce my home equity line to comply with its much tighter lending requirements. I sold some stock to accommodate them but this had nothing to do with stock valuations. I also sold some stocks and funds to buy down a commercial real estate loan in the past month. I had no pressure to do so because the loan to value is very low, but we are looking to acquire additional property as distress sales turn up and want to keep our powder dry.

Many people have been allowing their credit card debts to increase but facing little hope of growth in the stock market; those that can are selling stocks to buy down their debts where they can. This too has nothing to do with the intrinsic value of the stocks they are selling.

• Serious Money: Stable stocks beating S&P 500 - CB, DIS, JNJ, TEVA & XEL
  Chasing Value: General Electric is screaming to me!
• Chasing Value: Southern Company is somewhere to hide
• Chasing Value: Considering Berkshire Hathaway... again
• Chasing Value: Financial devastation? Still up but less

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• Southern Company (SO) has been the biggest addition to our family holdings. It is now in at least seven portfolios and I have sold naked puts for November 30's. I AM NOT RECOMMENDING ANYBODY SELL NAKED PUTS. Selling naked puts is very risky and as they say..."don't try this at home folks." I like Southern because it is near a 52-week low, but has had five years of continuous growth. It pays a huge dividend, as utilities traditionally do, and it is located in a part of the country that has relatively low wages, cheap land, good weather, a favorable tax environment and it has seen tremendous growth in the past two decades, which I believe is very likely to continue.

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money. Disclosure: I own shares of SO.

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This is a continuation of Serious Money: Choose these 5 stocks over CDs -- DEO, GE, HNP, JPM, MRK, which listed the first five stock ideas. Below are the other picks rounding out the ten.

Nucor Corporation (NYSE: NUE) - This is one of the world leaders in the idea of mini-mills. This smallish steel producer prides itself on running a tight ship, pays a dividend and has a P/E under 9. The steel industry has been volatile in recent years with many mergers and acquisitions. NUE could be a takeover target as the industry continues to consolidate. In the mean time, at Friday's closing price of $51.6, it was paying a 4.05% yield and is near its 52 week low, having dropped from a high of $83.56.

Precision Drilling TR (NYSE: PDS) - This Canadian supplier of gas drilling equipment and manpower is probably the least well known of the companies in this group. It has dropped off its highs with the recent sag in gas prices and may well be a bargain again although not the bargain it was when I posted Chasing Value: Precision Drilling for 10% yield. At Friday's closing price of $21.35 it was paying a 7.1% yield and that is still a wonderful bounty even it the stock only appreciates a little.

Southern Company (NYSE: SO) - At Friday's closing price of $37.79, paying a 4.4% yield, I know of few other companies that have been so consistent in growing and paying dividends over the last three decades. The Southern Company is in the heart of the southeast zone that has seen the most growth from the rust belt States migration. Foreign expansion due to good weather and cheaper housing and labor costs also contributed to higher growth than the western states.

Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) - Most Buffett followers know that he is a large shareholder of WFC and that this bank is one of the more conservative-run ones, having only suffered very modest write-downs. At Friday's closing price of $29.36 and paying a 4.63% yield it is probably one of the safest bets in the financial sector and is on sale now. Chasing Value: Wells Fargo may look like a steal in 12 months

Xcel Energy (NYSE: XEL) - Having more than 15,350 MW of primarily fossil-fueled generating capacity and 34,500 miles of natural gas pipelines, this is a utility, an energy play and a distribution play. In 2008, Xcel also announced that it would develop solar generated power plants in Colorado as part of its green energy initiative. At Friday's closing price of $20.66, paying a 4.6% yield, this $9 billion company could also be a takeover target for the same reason you or I might want to pick up a few shares. Serious Money: Five stable stocks for troubled times

No doubt, there are many more stocks you may find that meet similar criteria for high yield and appreciation over the long term, but this reasonably balanced group includes financials and pharmaceuticals that have been down, utilities that have been stable, and infrastructure plays that have long term value. There is inclusion of one Canadian company, one British and one Chinese, and given the overall list I think there is warranted exposure to foreign markets, which is a must in our global economy.

On Friday August 22, 2008, the S & P 500 was 1292.20 at the end of trading. The average yield for a 5-year CD in the United States rose 1 basis point to 4.25% on Friday, according to Bankrate.com's daily Your Best Interest report. I will check how these ten stocks are doing in six months to see if they stay ahead of the index and the CD returns as well.

Reader ideas and comments are always encouraged.

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money. DISCLOSURE: I currently own shares of PDR, SO & WFC.

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The stock market was down yesterday and it is down again today. Bearish sentiment is roaming through Wall Street right now, so I thought I would look back on another occasion when the market was going through similar turmoil and I wrote about the following eight stocks, which I thought would be "safe havens" in such a storm.

Six of the eight did well and two did not, and of course one of those two was a disaster. Among the losers, I do not think anyone is fretting about UPS, which is still one of the few triple-A rated companies along with Berkshire Hathaway. It has been well reported that the slowing economy and higher fuel prices have been the major culprits affecting UPS's earnings. In the case of WaMu, it's demise has also been well reported, but at the time I recommended it WaMu had a stellar reputation of growth and high yield for over two decades. There is no hiding, it turned out to be a lousy pick and an ANTI-SAFE Haven

NOT SAFE:

United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS) closed Monday at $65.30 down from $78.40; a 16.71% loss

Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) closed Monday at $4.21 down from $45.50; a 98% loss.

Fortunately the remaining six picks have done very, very well. If you had bought the pool, the average gain over the last two years would have been 7.14%. Adding the dividends over the two years would have raised this to 13.14%.

VERY SAFE:

Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD) closed Monday at $67.82 up from $45.50; a 49.05% gain.

Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-B) closed Friday at $3,924 up from $2,995; a 31.02% gain.

Petro China (NYSE: PTR) closed Monday at $124.48 up from $110.90; a 12.25% gain.

Proctor & Gamble (NYSE: PG) closed Monday at $71.27 up from $55.70; a 27.95% gain.

Southern Company (NYSE: SO) closed Monday at $37.61 up from $32.50; a 15.72% gain.

Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) closed Monday at $58.83 up from $43.30 a 35.87% gain.

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I have not decided who I am voting for yet. Or maybe it would be more accurate to say I have decided on multiple occasions only to become undecided again. While some will see me as fickle, or worse, others may be in the same boat.

I am also continuing to think about what difference any of the candidates can make on the economy, and based on these musings, where to invest. My current belief is that none of them will have a profound impact on our economy.

There are no financial wizards among them. Here is the shocker though: I like all three candidates, or at least can find some good in each of them. Each of them is a fighter, and I believe each one of them brings certain skill sets to the job. There are also things about each candidate that are inescapably negative. Clinton has so much baggage, Zsa Zsa Gabor would be jealous. Obama does not have the experience and he has a degree of arrogance (right sweetie); McCain is an old stick-in-the-mud who, as a long-time senator, has spent more hours with lobbyists than almost anybody, though he is pretending otherwise.

Where does this leave me from an investment perspective? My first choice, for stability with moderate growth and dividends, remains the defense sector. I wrote Defense sector rolls over S&P 500 for 8th straight year a while back and I still think that it is the most secure. Here's why:

A) None of the candidates will want to appear soft on defense when we are at war, and all three have made threatening remarks in some country's direction to make sure the electorate knows that.

B) The War in Afghanistan and Iraq rages on, and even the most optimist view is that a draw-down will take years.

C) Even if all war ceased immediately, the upgrading and replenishment of the hardware will cost billions of dollars and most of the defense contractors have that in their backlogs now. Chasing Value: General Dynamics & Raytheon -- The defense does not rest

Mike Huckabee made news by suggesting he would be delighted to pair up with John McCain as his VP running mate. He is another guy that has a real hunger to be heard, but has no interest in a real job. While this may strengthen the party ticket, shoring up conservative support, historically successful candidates move to the center in the general election. Huckabee would lose him as many votes as he would gain.

Nobody is more hungry to be president then Hillary Clinton, who may view this go-around as her one shot at the oval office, since the next occupant could be there eight years if they don't screw up too bad (right Dubya).

Hillary Clinton is doing some big time pandering to stay in the presidential race, and does not look like she has lost any of her fight yet. She seems to be the most polarizing of the three candidates, because there are many that simply do not trust her. Oddly, if this were any other type of race, trust might not be an issue, just success -- and an argument could be made that she might be the most successful. For all her husband's problems in office, the economy was humming and legislation was moving.

There are a growing number of hungry folk -- the continuous rise in food prices has supported one of my thesis from last December Serious Money: ADM, Bunge, Potash Corp. -- it's a hungry world and I expect, like the defense sector this is still a smart place to be investing, although these three stocks are on the pricey side. However, who is to say they have topped out. Archer-Daniels-Midland (NYSE: ADM), Bunge Ltd. (NYSE: BG) and Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (NYSE: POT) dominate a major portion of he world market in grains, oils and fertilizers.

A) Our sinking dollar makes our prices on the world market more competitive.

B) China, Russia, India, Brazil -- the whole world for that matter have been adding more meat to their diets and that is raising the price of everything. The number of capitalists has doubled!

C) Diets will change in tough economic times, but food will remain a higher priority than most everything else.

Looking beyond the economics of guns and butter for other themes and hearing every day the drum beat that change is afoot, I wonder where else things might remain stable or grow. What comes to mind is power, and I have thought this for quite some time -- Serious Money: Electric utilities are the place to be. I still like the Southeast U.S. and own stock in Duke Energy (NYSE: DUK) and the Southern Company (NYSE: SO) for the long haul.

A) Power companies will be open for business every day of the year and pay solid dividends.

B) Even if housing is down and foreclosures are increasing, someone will own the homes and they will still need the power company.

C) The increase in consumer products requiring power, and the movement toward electric vehicles, will increase demand.

Speaking of a newcomer that seeks power -- Barack Obama promotes himself as the candidate of change. I ask, CHANGE WHAT? Does he think he can become more touchy-feely, like Jimmy Carter, and make nice to everyone? That did not work. He wants to bring us all together, but that's not going to happen. Some folks want to eliminate capital gains taxes and others want to raise them; some want to stop all abortions and others want a women to have a right to choose; and some want health care coverage to be provided by the private sector and others want the government to take over. There will have to be a compromise, but there will be a battle royale to get there.

The Democrats are happy to run against Bush, because even many Republicans would not like to do the Bush economy over again and economics does not seem to be McCain's strong suit anyway. If Obama is the survivor of the political process ("winner" does not seem apt), the biggest surprise will be the economy. Since he is the biggest wild-card, we may see the market go soft, at least in the short term, if he is elected.

One of the most fascinating things about the economy, reported on this site and in business journals, is that the economy often does the best when there is a log jam in Washington and nothing happens. Maybe the economy would improve the fastest if Bush left office and we had a one-year moratorium in Washington and they all just went home. There was a time, a long time ago, when that's how it was.

No matter who wins the election, I think the defense, food and energy sectors will remain strong and the housing sector, airlines, and retail remains weak for a few more years. In this case the past may be a good predictor of the future.

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money. Disclosure: I own shares in DUK, GD & SO.

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The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: KO) should not have a problem selling Coke, even in a recession. It traded up to $65.31 from 52-week low of $45.56.

The Southern Company (NYSE: SO) is an electrical utility with safe yield of 4.1%. It moved up to $40.52 from 52-week low of $33.16.

Abbott Laboratories (NYSE: ABT). Healthcare seems like safe haven. ABT traded up to $60.29 from 52-week low at $49.58.

Genzyme Corporation (NASDAQ: GENZ). Analysts say sales should be strong for several years. Stock was up to $79.70 from 52-week low of $58.71.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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The more questions you have these days about the investment world, and the more concerned you are about economy over the next few years, the more you should have some of your assets in electric utilities. Regardless if our nation makes a push toward nuclear, solar, or wind power or does nothing at all, electric utilities will remain the big players. Year in and year out they have a stable customer base, pay a higher dividend yield and have a much higher level of predictability than almost any other investment class.

Another factor that is likely to contribute to the growth of electric utilities is the push toward electric "plug-in" cars. I have not done any analysis as to how this will affect global warming, the price of gas, the quality of air, or total national energy consumption, but those issues aside, if we change even 25% of the nation's automobiles to all-electric over the next ten years, that is a lot of growth.

Historically, the Dow Jones Utilities Average has beaten the pants off the Dow Jones Industrial Average for total return. There are short periods of time when the Industrials jump past the Utilities, but over the long haul, investors have done much better with what seems like the less attention-grabbing, boring old utilities. Choosing boring stocks remind you of anyone? Yes, "My Pal Warren" has been buying these boring stocks over the last decade (adding to his others in chocolate, underwear, ice cream and insurance) and you can see the results in the five-year chart comparing the two Dow indices.

Given the sorry state of affairs and great economic uncertainties that lie ahead, a good way to proceed is to put all of your local utilities on your watch list since you have some familiarity with them. On a down day, I might start building a position for the long term. I would also combine this view by looking for specific areas of growth.

The three areas I have keyed in on are the Southeastern United States, where population growth is likely to continue to outpace the rest of the nation; China, which will outpace everyone due to its great and growing need for energy fueled by its rapidly expanding economy; and lastly California, the state with the most cars combined with the most demanding (or progressive) regulations.

Here is a short watch-list including the recent P/E and yield:

• The Southeast: Duke Energy (NYSE: DUK) P/E 19.54, Yield 4.53% and Southern Power (NYSE: SO) P/E 17.55, Yield 4.35%
• China: Huaneng Power Intl. ADS (NYSE: HNP) P/E 14.30, Yield 3.49%
• California: PG&E Corp. (NYSE: PCG) P/E 17.15, Yield 3.24%

In addition, you can find Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that will allow you to invest in a large group of utilities offering greater diversification. ETFs trade like stocks, although trading is foolish to me. I would just build a position over time and hold it. One such ETF is the Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU), currently paying a 2.72% yield.

It is clear that we keep inventing new products daily that require electric power and whole new industries as well; the billboard industry is being transformed and data centers are being built throughout the world, factories and even surgical wards are being automated. Wise investors will recognize the importance of electric utilities as a mainstay in any portfolio. These are just few suggestions to consider. If you look, you will find more.

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